Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?

0x508e39742904184c4ca67da6450517731a366e97bf12155750b05e8c22341646

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 1.1% · CLOB volume $296 · whales 24h net $1 (2 wallets) · 7d net $1 · 19/19 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

1.1%

Yes

Implied No

98.9%

Volume

$296

CLOB

Traders

11 trades

Yes 1.1%No 98.9%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($1)
•7d whale net still positive ($1)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 1.1% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($296) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

11 shown

NOBUY2026-08-04 05:42:15

99.4¢$155

—BUY2026-08-04 05:42:15

0.4¢$0

—BUY2026-08-04 05:42:15

0.4¢$0

—BUY2026-08-04 05:42:15

0.4¢$0

—BUY2026-08-04 05:42:15

0.7¢

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0xe0dc…94db	$156	$155	$1	$-154
0xfcf0…9275	$38	$26	$13	$-13
0xd064…c4d1	$10	$10	$0	$-10
0x613b…da44	$4	$4	$0	$-4

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x1ee9…197f	144	$5.7k	$-175	12
0x2132…7657	186	$5.6k	$-1.7k	6
0x6b0e…e3ea	201	$2.8k	$-2.7k	14
0xad53…ef24	168	$2.2k

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