Multi-outcome · 19 open
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by August 31?
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
open · $208
49.5%
Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
open · $10
49.5%
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
open · $10.5k
46.0%
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
open · $8.9k
38.5%
Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
open · $6.9k
34.5%
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
open · $9.5k
34.0%
Will Kazem Gharibabadi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
open · $977
33.0%
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
open · $5.3k
27.5%
Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
open · $870
25.5%
Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
open · $2.2k
24.0%
Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
open · $1.8k
22.0%
Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
open · $1.7k
18.1%
Will Esmail Qaani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
open · $284
10.1%
Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
open · $6.6k
7.0%
Will Pete Hegseth attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
open · $2.5k
4.5%
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
open · $1.7k
4.5%
Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
open · $5.0k
2.7%
Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
open · $296
1.0%
Will Ahmad Vahidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
open · $4.4k
0.8%
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