US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?

0x61c2b9e70f7fdf3441fd1cfa2c8fa93308fefe3f5ecc2db87c393efab3a207a3

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 57.5% · CLOB volume $190.9k · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $0.

Implied Yes

57.5%

Yes

Implied No

42.5%

Volume

$190.9k

CLOB

Traders

0 trades

Live snapshot from Polymarket (Gamma). This market is not fully in our on-chain index yet — whale tape and historical fills may be empty until sync catches up.

Yes 57.5%No 42.5%

Source: gamma_fallback+markets+gamma+gamma+mv_market_daily · live CLOB mid

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Bull case

•Market prices Yes at 57.5%
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Watch for unwind volume on Yes or deadline risk
•Watch for unwind volume on Yes or deadline risk

Recent fills

0 shown

No recent on-chain fills in the serving window — volume above is live CLOB; tape may lag for new markets.

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)

Single-market event

No sibling markets for this event.

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets

All traders

No event trader rollup yet for this market.

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