Multi-outcome · 3 open · 2 closed hidden
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)
Volume $10.81MTraders 5,333Trades 70,326
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Top event traders (30d)
- 0xbd04…fbb04 mkts · $584.0k
- 0xa65c…79973 mkts · $561.5k
- 0xe234…304a5 mkts · $501.0k
- 0x05ab…81454 mkts · $466.5k
- 0xc84f…e0c52 mkts · $321.8k
- 0x401e…6fc94 mkts · $313.9k
- 0x6d9f…97904 mkts · $313.8k
- 0xbaa2…2c733 mkts · $272.5k
- 0x30e4…51024 mkts · $270.3k
- 0xd20b…3a202 mkts · $268.3k
- 0x60a9…5a714 mkts · $262.0k
- 0xb100…64614 mkts · $252.5k
- 0x7c3d…5c6b4 mkts · $250.5k
- 0x993c…67874 mkts · $222.2k
- 0xa8c6…44e85 mkts · $221.6k