0x76415d8735b0e5bf13d2ec0473ead9bd40f07ea8c82487328408db95cb3a602f
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan?” trades at 60% YES on Polymarket with $7.6k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 59.5% · CLOB volume $7.6k · whales 24h net $14 (4 wallets) · 7d net $136 · 20/22 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
59.5%
Yes
Implied No
40.5%
No
Volume
$7.6k
CLOB
Traders
125
767 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$14
Buy
$38
Sell
$24
Whales
4
Last 7 days
Net flow
$136
Buy
$302
Sell
$165
Whales
12
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x808a…ef3f | $394 | $237 | $157 | $-80 |
| 0xad53…ef24 | $337 | $172 | $164 | $-8 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $295 | $257 | $39 | $-218 |
| 0x0fa2…05aa | $197 | $111 | $86 | $-24 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xad53…ef24 | 610 | $6.1k | $-1.1k | 19 |
| 0xefac…c9a1 | 515 | $5.2k | $457 | 15 |
| 0x808a…ef3f | 294 | $4.6k | $-300 | 15 |
| 0x2136…ee56 | 68 | $2.9k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
20 open · 22 total · Event board
Simu Liu as Shang-Chi?
closed · $3.1k
100.0%
Hayley Atwell as Peggy Carter?
closed · $386
100.0%
Hugh Jackman as Wolverine?
open · $11.3k
94.5%
Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool?
open · $7.8k
93.0%
Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man?
open · $14.2k
91.0%
Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange?
open · $7.3k
87.5%
Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop?
open · $4.9k
83.0%
Teyonah Parris as Monica Rambeau?
open · $6.2k
76.5%
Iman Vellani as Ms. Marvel?
open · $6.3k
74.0%
Benedict Wong as Wong?
open · $8.1k
71.5%
Mark Ruffalo as Hulk?
open · $10.5k
68.0%
Xochitl Gomez as America Chavez?
open · $2.1k
65.5%
Gwyneth Paltrow as Pepper Potts?
open · $3.0k
61.0%
Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan?
open · $7.6k
59.5%
Brie Larson as Captain Marvel?
open · $17.0k
52.0%
Tom Holland as Spider-Man?
open · $14.4k
48.5%
Elizabeth Olsen as Scarlet Witch?
open · $3.6k
48.5%
Andrew Garfield as Spider-Man?
open · $10.0k
37.0%
Don Cheadle as James Rhodes / War Machine?
open · $4.9k
33.0%
Halle Berry as Storm?
open · $7.4k
14.5%
| 0x7e59…7b8b | $189 | $75 | $114 | $39 |
| 0x014c…820c | $171 | $83 | $88 | $5 |
| 0x510f…a43c | $107 | $107 | $0 | $-107 |
| 0xf51b…ca1b | $103 | $78 | $25 | $-53 |
| 0x2f52…9fba | $81 | $49 | $32 | $-16 |
| 0xefac…c9a1 | $75 | $26 | $48 | $22 |
| 0x52eb…67ac | $72 | $72 | $0 | $-72 |
| 0x98a8…a47b | $66 | $44 | $22 | $-22 |
| $-1.5k |
| 2 |
| 0x0fa2…05aa | 332 | $2.7k | $-125 | 13 |
| 0x7e59…7b8b | 142 | $2.6k | $746 | 10 |
| 0x6b0e…e3ea | 256 | $2.3k | $-2.2k | 18 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 171 | $2.2k | $-2.0k | 16 |
| 0xc602…7fc1 | 115 | $2.2k | $-1.9k | 12 |
| 0x98a8…a47b | 292 | $2.0k | $-646 | 15 |
