0x82676575470d9d3a5519e224785d9ea107a818fec9d9c29c82ba3a55f354dd07
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii by November 30, 2026?” trades at 49% YES on Polymarket with $3.3k total volume.
Bullish lean
Implied Yes 48.5% · CLOB volume $3.3k · whales 24h net $681 (16 wallets) · 7d net $681 · 19/19 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
48.5%
Yes
Implied No
51.5%
No
Volume
$3.3k
CLOB
Traders
40
210 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
12.0% → 11.0% (-1.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$681
Buy
$1.4k
Sell
$747
Whales
16
Last 7 days
Net flow
$681
Buy
$1.4k
Sell
$747
Whales
16
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xe53c…e569 | $1.9k | $1.1k | $748 | $-381 |
| 0xf6d2…7048 | $810 | $377 | $433 | $56 |
| 0xf51b…ca1b | $348 | $341 | $7 | $-334 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $196 | $196 | $0 | $-196 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xf6d2…7048 | 139 | $3.6k | $352 | 4 |
| 0xab2d…b1aa | 116 | $3.6k | $-1.2k | 13 |
| 0xb4e6…da0f | 4 | $3.0k | $-680 | 1 |
| 0xf51b…ca1b | 146 | $2.3k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
19 open · 19 total · Event board
Will a hurricane make landfall in Alabama by November 30, 2026?
open · $1.5k
76.0%
Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii by November 30, 2026?
open · $3.3k
48.5%
Will a hurricane make landfall in Florida by November 30, 2026?
open · $1.2k
31.0%
Will a hurricane make landfall in Louisiana by November 30, 2026?
open · $1.3k
22.5%
Will a hurricane make landfall in Mississippi by November 30, 2026?
open · $672
14.0%
Will a hurricane make landfall in Texas by November 30, 2026?
open · $899
12.0%
Will a hurricane make landfall in New York by November 30, 2026?
open · $1.5k
9.1%
Will a hurricane make landfall in Georgia by November 30, 2026?
open · $1.7k
7.5%
Will a hurricane make landfall in North Carolina by November 30, 2026?
open · $2.7k
6.7%
Will a hurricane make landfall in New Jersey by November 30, 2026?
open · $634
6.3%
Will a hurricane make landfall in Virginia by November 30, 2026?
open · $1.6k
6.0%
Will a hurricane make landfall in Massachusetts by November 30, 2026?
open · $3.2k
4.0%
Will a hurricane make landfall in South Carolina by November 30, 2026?
open · $1.1k
4.0%
Will a hurricane make landfall in Maryland by November 30, 2026?
open · $1.4k
4.0%
Will a hurricane make landfall in New Hampshire by November 30, 2026?
open · $1.5k
3.9%
Will a hurricane make landfall in Delaware by November 30, 2026?
open · $1.9k
3.2%
Will a hurricane make landfall in Rhode Island by November 30, 2026?
open · $2.0k
2.7%
Will a hurricane make landfall in Connecticut by November 30, 2026?
open · $460
2.5%
Will a hurricane make landfall in Maine by November 30, 2026?
open · $2.5k
1.9%
| 0x98a8…a47b | $160 | $125 | $35 | $-90 |
| 0x55af…735f | $144 | $116 | $29 | $-87 |
| 0xcceb…f030 | $133 | $102 | $32 | $-70 |
| 0xfdb5…14bf | $122 | $122 | $0 | $-122 |
| 0x66a1…80d9 | $117 | $117 | $0 | $-117 |
| 0xc602…7fc1 | $111 | $111 | $0 | $-111 |
| 0xcc36…d35d | $80 | $57 | $23 | $-35 |
| 0xe457…5ab3 | $58 | $38 | $20 | $-18 |
| $-1.9k |
| 15 |
| 0xe53c…e569 | 88 | $1.9k | $-381 | 1 |
| 0x331b…193f | 25 | $1.5k | $-546 | 4 |
| 0xf2aa…21fb | 40 | $1.3k | $-691 | 5 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 37 | $1.2k | $-1.2k | 12 |
| 0xad53…ef24 | 121 | $1.2k | $-68 | 16 |
| 0x43e9…a4fb | 2 | $1.2k | $-1.2k | 1 |
