0x9ced02fa76f0eedd45811916fb44b2c151075c03c4f1c22c8bff7b18980b2b12
As of Sep 10, 2026, “Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 achieve a successful splashdown?” trades at 83% YES on Polymarket with $2.4k total volume.
Bullish lean
Implied Yes 82.5% · CLOB volume $2.4k · whales 24h net $12 (2 wallets) · 7d net $83 · 7/9 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
82.5%
Yes
Implied No
17.5%
No
Volume
$2.4k
CLOB
Traders
43
132 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$12
Buy
$15
Sell
$2
Whales
2
Last 7 days
Net flow
$83
Buy
$98
Sell
$15
Whales
5
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x14d7…db87 | $592 | $501 | $91 | $-410 |
| 0x6b11…38e8 | $541 | $301 | $240 | $-61 |
| 0xa18e…c8c7 | $449 | $250 | $199 | $-51 |
| 0x0314…2f6d | $281 | $36 | $244 | $208 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x9604…fc1d | 14 | $217.2k | $-204.2k | 2 |
| 0xa62a…a8ff | 211 | $29.0k | $-19.3k | 5 |
| 0x3069…f8ef | 4 | $21.8k | $-20.2k | 2 |
| 0xdd93…a22b | 188 | $18.3k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
7 open · 9 total · Event board
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by October 31?
open · $862
97.2%
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?
open · $24.1k
87.5%
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy explode?
open · $32.5k
82.5%
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 achieve a successful splashdown?
open · $2.4k
82.5%
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy booster?
open · $14.2k
8.6%
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?
open · $299.1k
3.0%
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15?
open · $39.7k
1.5%
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 31?
closed · $62.5k
0.0%
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 22?
closed · $6.6k
0.0%
| 0x244b…d87f | $163 | $163 | $0 | $-163 |
| 0xf5e4…471a | $150 | $131 | $19 | $-113 |
| 0x529d…6381 | $145 | $145 | $0 | $-145 |
| 0x1d08…3f18 | $90 | $44 | $46 | $2 |
| 0x45e6…c078 | $75 | $75 | $0 | $-75 |
| 0xad53…ef24 | $69 | $58 | $10 | $-48 |
| 0x6b0e…e3ea | $66 | $66 | $0 | $-66 |
| 0x9422…f273 | $63 | $40 | $23 | $-16 |
| $-8.7k |
| 3 |
| 0x562b…dc09 | 132 | $15.3k | $-4.3k | 4 |
| 0x1a8f…ccd1 | 204 | $13.4k | $-7.9k | 2 |
| 0xefdd…8370 | 251 | $12.2k | $984 | 5 |
| 0x97ea…3363 | 62 | $11.9k | $-11.6k | 4 |
| 0x8b5a…00f2 | 27 | $10.5k | $-4.2k | 2 |
| 0x6560…e164 | 59 | $9.7k | $-3.8k | 5 |