Multi-outcome · 7 open · 2 closed hidden
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by October 31?
open · $862
97.2%
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?
open · $24.1k
87.5%
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy explode?
open · $32.5k
82.5%
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 achieve a successful splashdown?
open · $2.4k
82.5%
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy booster?
open · $14.2k
8.6%
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?
open · $299.1k
3.0%
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15?
open · $39.7k
1.5%
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