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Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?Active 59 days left

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?

0x9e7056c4004056441b57f960460c5e4f6d3e6ab9e1633b15538eb909d0f34466

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 4.2% · CLOB volume $275.1k · whales 24h net $6.2k (18 wallets) · 7d net $40.9k · 2/3 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

4.2%

Yes

Implied No

95.8%

Volume

$275.1k

CLOB

Traders

543

3,301 trades

Yes 4.2%No 95.8%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$6.2k

Buy

$9.9k

Sell

$3.7k

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$40.9k

Buy

$78.4k

Sell

$37.4k

Whales

120

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($6.2k)
•7d whale net still positive ($40.9k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 4.2% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-08-02 00:29:15

104.5¢$5

NOBUY2026-08-02 00:29:15

95.7¢$5

NOBUY2026-08-01 23:17:30

96.0¢$534

NOBUY2026-08-01 23:17:30

104.2¢$20

NOBUY2026-08-01 23:17:30

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x4755…4158	$128.9k	$96.2k	$32.8k	$-63.4k
0x5150…7742	$34.8k	$22.0k	$12.7k	$-9.3k
0xc8ab…6418	$29.9k	$29.9k	$0	$-29.9k
0x44cf…2211	$18.5k	$806	$17.7k	$16.9k

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x4755…4158	361	$128.9k	$-63.4k	1
0xc8ab…6418	237	$49.4k	$-49.4k	2
0x5150…7742	77	$34.8k	$-9.3k	1
0xf192…6ee2	145	$22.5k

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