0xa8e282f02c70d2babd2d8da1a5f943efb1545cbd5c209679eb42915b1b4d6362
As of Sep 10, 2026, “Will there be 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?” trades at 1% YES on Polymarket with $404 total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 0.5% · CLOB volume $404 · whales 24h net $0 (2 wallets) · 7d net $2 · 6/7 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
0.5%
Yes
Implied No
99.5%
No
Volume
$404
CLOB
Traders
18
21 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
0.2% → 0.2% (+0.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$0
Buy
$0
Sell
$0
Whales
2
Last 7 days
Net flow
$2
Buy
$2
Sell
$0
Whales
11
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x2017…d58f | $180 | $180 | $0 | $-179 |
| 0x9ed7…8fe2 | $99 | $98 | $1 | $-97 |
| 0x23b9…375b | $36 | $36 | $0 | $-36 |
| 0x4f28…1f36 | $31 | $31 | $0 | $-31 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xabbe…8f37 | 4 | $236 | $-64 | 1 |
| 0x7f15…52f1 | 5 | $215 | $15 | 2 |
| 0x2017…d58f | 8 | $180 | $-179 | 1 |
| 0x1555…6055 | 4 | $159 |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
6 open · 7 total · Event board
Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?
open · $986
67.5%
Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?
open · $38
27.0%
Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?
open · $25
8.5%
Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?
open · $44
4.5%
Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?
open · $8
3.1%
Will there be 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?
open · $404
0.5%
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?
closed · $192
0.1%
| 0x29f6…62d4 | $30 | $30 | $0 | $-30 |
| 0x14dd…5778 | $29 | $28 | $0 | $-28 |
| 0xad53…ef24 | $1 | $1 | $0 | $-1 |
| 0x4aa3…11ce | $0 | $0 | $0 | $-0 |
| 0x7474…cef7 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $-0 |
| 0x46b3…d3de | $0 | $0 | $0 | $-0 |
| 0x0c28…9844 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $-0 |
| 0x758d…5d9e | $0 | $0 | $0 | $-0 |
| $-59 |
| 1 |
| 0x49ae…f3ba | 10 | $137 | $-6 | 1 |
| 0x66c1…2c72 | 5 | $136 | $-120 | 1 |
| 0x69b3…14f8 | 8 | $134 | $-0 | 2 |
| 0x555c…ee28 | 2 | $112 | $-112 | 1 |
| 0xad53…ef24 | 18 | $102 | $-48 | 5 |
| 0x7230…f3d0 | 5 | $102 | $-43 | 1 |
