0xe2c305aca23024e74fa916cda5f91383d64138526ad656daeee0eb6566abec5f
As of Sep 10, 2026, “Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?” trades at 27% YES on Polymarket with $38 total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 26.5% · CLOB volume $38 · whales 24h net $4 (2 wallets) · 7d net $25 · 6/7 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
26.5%
Yes
Implied No
73.5%
No
Volume
$38
CLOB
Traders
5
8 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$4
Buy
$5
Sell
$1
Whales
2
Last 7 days
Net flow
$25
Buy
$33
Sell
$8
Whales
4
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x69b3…14f8 | $26 | $17 | $8 | $-9 |
| 0xacf1…374f | $12 | $5 | $7 | $3 |
| 0x7f15…52f1 | $7 | $7 | $0 | $-7 |
| 0xad53…ef24 | $5 | $5 | $0 | $-5 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xabbe…8f37 | 4 | $236 | $-64 | 1 |
| 0x7f15…52f1 | 5 | $215 | $15 | 2 |
| 0x2017…d58f | 8 | $180 | $-179 | 1 |
| 0x1555…6055 | 4 | $159 |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
6 open · 7 total · Event board
Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?
open · $986
67.5%
Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?
open · $38
26.5%
Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?
open · $25
8.5%
Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?
open · $44
4.5%
Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?
open · $8
3.1%
Will there be 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?
open · $404
0.3%
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?
closed · $192
0.1%
| 0x758d…5d9e | $3 | $3 | $0 | $-3 |
| $-59 |
| 1 |
| 0x49ae…f3ba | 10 | $137 | $-6 | 1 |
| 0x66c1…2c72 | 5 | $136 | $-120 | 1 |
| 0x69b3…14f8 | 8 | $134 | $-0 | 2 |
| 0x555c…ee28 | 2 | $112 | $-112 | 1 |
| 0xad53…ef24 | 18 | $102 | $-48 | 5 |
| 0x7230…f3d0 | 5 | $102 | $-43 | 1 |
