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Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?Active 90 days left

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?

0xaff5b702feef28fd0207583e17f8f2610d8191b5951441974e166dcdb61366e2

Bearish lean

Implied Yes 6.5% · CLOB volume $11.3k · whales 24h net $-464 (7 wallets) · 7d net $-264 · 3/6 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

6.5%

Yes

Implied No

93.5%

Volume

$11.3k

CLOB

Traders

128 trades

Yes 6.5%No 93.5%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$-464

Buy

$727

Sell

$1.2k

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$-264

Buy

$954

Sell

$1.2k

Whales

Bull case

•Market still active / open
•Watch for whale buy acceleration vs mid

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 6.5% — No favored
•Whales net sellers 24h ($-464)
•7d whale net negative ($-264)
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-08-02 02:27:08

107.5¢$200

NOBUY2026-08-02 02:27:08

1428.6¢$200

YESBUY2026-08-02 02:22:14

7.0¢$3

NOBUY2026-08-02 02:22:14

1428.6¢$49

YESBUY2026-08-02 02:20:23

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x0c0e…434e	$7.7k	$7.1k	$603	$-6.5k
0xc3fc…484a	$1.4k	$1.2k	$262	$-895
0xff7c…b233	$996	$60	$936	$877
0x2a20…89d2	$588	$388	$200	$-188

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x2e0b…8070	184	$278.9k	$-154.9k	3
0x0c0e…434e	101	$154.8k	$-86.3k	4
0xbaa2…2c73	306	$122.4k	$-59.4k	3
0x49e9…8f85	95	$96.1k

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