Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

0xb2a1c0c2a5ddd15fb8ba2dea1a808ef32c61108bb1a5911281006e8076b6714b

Resolved market

Market closed / resolved · winner Yes · final Yes 100.0% · CLOB volume $1.30M · 0/4 related markets still open.

Implied Yes

100.0%

Yes

Implied No

0.0%

Volume

$1.30M

CLOB

Traders

6,255

28,141 trades

Yes 100.0%No 0.0%

Settled market price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Bull case

•Resolved — winner Yes
•Final Yes 100.0%

Bear case

•No new risk — book not accepting orders
•Entire event slate is closed
•Use for historical tape / whale context only

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-07-02 04:16:47

99.8¢$46

—BUY2026-07-02 04:16:47

0.2¢$0

NOBUY2026-07-02 04:16:37

50000.0¢$826

—BUY2026-07-02 04:16:37

0.2¢$2

NOBUY2026-07-02 04:12:55

100.4¢

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x25db…28de	$150.8k	$128.9k	$21.9k	$-106.9k
0xa576…8678	$96.7k	$78.6k	$18.2k	$-60.4k
0xfc2f…10c7	$74.3k	$47.6k	$26.7k	$-20.8k
0xcb59…0a22	$52.3k	$43.6k	$8.8k	$-34.8k

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x25db…28de	1,307	$236.0k	$-157.6k	3
0xc8ab…6418	378	$192.7k	$-97.6k	3
0xfc2f…10c7	415	$184.1k	$-44.7k	4
0xa576…8678	219	$167.6k

Dig deeper with Polydata

Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.

Explore traders Whale feed API