0xbdefa3daa643bbcd8591f23e39086253bca68fb9fd01d9d99b8f37c63c250572
As of Sep 23, 2026, “Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?” trades at 100% YES on Polymarket with $119.6k total volume.
Resolved market
Market closed / resolved · winner Yes · final Yes 100.0% · CLOB volume $119.6k · 0/4 related markets still open.
Implied Yes
100.0%
Yes
Implied No
0.0%
No
Volume
$119.6k
CLOB
Traders
322
1,578 trades
Settled market price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
97.5% → 99.9% (+2.4pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$8.5k
Buy
$12.9k
Sell
$4.4k
Whales
32
Last 7 days
Net flow
$26.6k
Buy
$59.7k
Sell
$33.1k
Whales
132
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x524d…4495 | $16.7k | $2.6k | $14.1k | $11.4k |
| 0x3594…dc58 | $14.8k | $6.7k | $8.1k | $1.4k |
| 0xacdf…251c | $10.8k | $10.8k | $0 | $-10.8k |
| 0xc42d…ca94 | $10.2k | $5.9k | $4.3k | $-1.6k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xda68…6b7b | 33 | $26.5k | $-26.1k | 3 |
| 0x524d…4495 | 13 | $17.4k | $12.1k | 2 |
| 0x3eae…e2ed | 33 | $14.9k | $-8.3k | 2 |
| 0x3594…dc58 | 135 | $14.8k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
0 open · 4 total · Event board
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?
closed · $119.6k
100.0%
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by October 31, 2026?
closed · $16.4k
100.0%
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by December 31, 2026?
closed · $28.0k
100.0%
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?
closed · $41.5k
0.0%
| 0xc602…7fc1 | $4.4k | $4.2k | $208 | $-4.0k |
| 0x79dc…ca77 | $4.2k | $4.1k | $110 | $-4.0k |
| 0x7365…64da | $4.1k | $3.1k | $1.0k | $-2.0k |
| 0x8597…daee | $3.9k | $3.9k | $0 | $-3.9k |
| 0x4815…83ba | $3.8k | $2.5k | $1.3k | $-1.2k |
| 0xe2cf…4c49 | $3.7k | $275 | $3.5k | $3.2k |
| 0x2b9d…95f4 | $3.7k | $3.7k | $0 | $-3.7k |
| 0xda68…6b7b | $3.6k | $3.6k | $7 | $-3.6k |
| $1.4k |
| 1 |
| 0x876b…1703 | 61 | $11.2k | $513 | 4 |
| 0xacdf…251c | 2 | $10.8k | $-10.8k | 1 |
| 0xc42d…ca94 | 63 | $10.2k | $-1.6k | 1 |
| 0x6e66…f4ea | 44 | $7.4k | $-5.0k | 2 |
| 0xc602…7fc1 | 78 | $6.6k | $-6.2k | 4 |
| 0x7365…64da | 36 | $6.0k | $-927 | 2 |
