0xf87d44ca5ff036ad7e0017ffb6a9591c776a2e4cf258c432fe5ef75e47a9fb0a
As of Sep 23, 2026, “Will the next Claude Opus model be released by October 31, 2026?” trades at 100% YES on Polymarket with $16.4k total volume.
Resolved market
Market closed / resolved · winner Yes · final Yes 100.0% · CLOB volume $16.4k · 0/4 related markets still open.
Implied Yes
100.0%
Yes
Implied No
0.0%
No
Volume
$16.4k
CLOB
Traders
130
519 trades
Settled market price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
97.9% → 99.9% (+2.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$433
Buy
$730
Sell
$298
Whales
10
Last 7 days
Net flow
$1.9k
Buy
$3.4k
Sell
$1.5k
Whales
38
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x832b…5c91 | $3.1k | $2.7k | $467 | $-2.2k |
| 0x2d0d…66e0 | $3.1k | $1.7k | $1.3k | $-428 |
| 0x876b…1703 | $2.4k | $1.1k | $1.3k | $275 |
| 0x3eae…e2ed | $1.9k | $1.8k | $160 | $-1.6k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xda68…6b7b | 33 | $26.5k | $-26.1k | 3 |
| 0x524d…4495 | 13 | $17.4k | $12.1k | 2 |
| 0x3eae…e2ed | 33 | $14.9k | $-8.3k | 2 |
| 0x3594…dc58 | 135 | $14.8k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
0 open · 4 total · Event board
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?
closed · $119.6k
100.0%
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by October 31, 2026?
closed · $16.4k
100.0%
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by December 31, 2026?
closed · $28.0k
100.0%
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?
closed · $41.5k
0.0%
| 0x28b2…eb4f | $1.6k | $1.3k | $314 | $-1.0k |
| 0x714f…66d5 | $1.2k | $157 | $1.0k | $879 |
| 0xb100…6461 | $831 | $457 | $374 | $-83 |
| 0x524d…4495 | $750 | $18 | $732 | $714 |
| 0x321e…9292 | $702 | $454 | $249 | $-205 |
| 0x167a…91d5 | $674 | $388 | $286 | $-102 |
| 0x4fe2…87c5 | $641 | $641 | $0 | $-641 |
| 0x165d…121c | $540 | $283 | $257 | $-26 |
| $1.4k |
| 1 |
| 0x876b…1703 | 61 | $11.2k | $513 | 4 |
| 0xacdf…251c | 2 | $10.8k | $-10.8k | 1 |
| 0xc42d…ca94 | 63 | $10.2k | $-1.6k | 1 |
| 0x6e66…f4ea | 44 | $7.4k | $-5.0k | 2 |
| 0xc602…7fc1 | 78 | $6.6k | $-6.2k | 4 |
| 0x7365…64da | 36 | $6.0k | $-927 | 2 |
