0xd15dcf2ea9f93608371d8e4d0ce77266bcb4d1ec170f24463a6f657eca4d0244
As of Sep 10, 2026, “Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?” trades at 5% YES on Polymarket with $69.7k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 5.1% · CLOB volume $69.7k · whales 24h net $1.3k (10 wallets) · 7d net $6.5k · 4/9 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
5.1%
Yes
Implied No
95.0%
No
Volume
$69.7k
CLOB
Traders
135
652 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
5.7% → 4.5% (-1.2pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$1.3k
Buy
$1.4k
Sell
$165
Whales
10
Last 7 days
Net flow
$6.5k
Buy
$22.9k
Sell
$16.4k
Whales
61
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x4181…de86 | $55.7k | $28.1k | $27.6k | $-578 |
| 0xe917…9612 | $30.8k | $29.1k | $1.7k | $-27.4k |
| 0x0380…073d | $2.2k | $1.9k | $382 | $-1.5k |
| 0xb1b6…a004 | $1.2k | $342 | $828 | $486 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x4181…de86 | 50 | $75.1k | $-19.7k | 6 |
| 0xe917…9612 | 135 | $32.0k | $-27.5k | 2 |
| 0xd0bf…9f9f | 76 | $14.4k | $13.3k | 2 |
| 0x375e…2682 | 26 | $6.7k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
4 open · 9 total · Event board
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
open · $35.6k
91.5%
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
open · $69.7k
5.1%
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
open · $19.5k
4.2%
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
open · $16.0k
0.1%
Will SpaceX be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
closed · $16.7k
0.1%
Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
closed · $5.7k
0.1%
Will Broadcom be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
closed · $3.3k
0.1%
Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
closed · $2.2k
0.1%
Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
closed · $1.3k
0.1%
| 0x4f1d…8de2 | $1.0k | $886 | $155 | $-730 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $988 | $988 | $0 | $-988 |
| 0xa49b…7054 | $819 | $218 | $601 | $383 |
| 0xa328…4977 | $809 | $593 | $216 | $-377 |
| 0xf83e…4663 | $713 | $566 | $147 | $-419 |
| 0xb0c8…fe7f | $552 | $474 | $78 | $-397 |
| 0x8373…f0bc | $467 | $420 | $47 | $-373 |
| 0xaee8…1154 | $462 | $377 | $85 | $-292 |
| $-2.3k |
| 1 |
| 0x0380…073d | 140 | $5.8k | $-4.7k | 5 |
| 0x0213…82f6 | 37 | $3.8k | $488 | 1 |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | 74 | $3.7k | $-924 | 1 |
| 0xf83e…4663 | 94 | $3.7k | $-3.2k | 4 |
| 0xaee8…1154 | 48 | $3.2k | $-542 | 4 |
| 0x4f1d…8de2 | 67 | $2.7k | $-2.1k | 5 |
