MagicBlock FDV above $40M one day after launch?

0xd8430f25b6a3e9d9afc2fb011c577779e646385849ab4251c5ac5f8ae1ef88b9

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 33.5% · CLOB volume $6.7k · whales 24h net $11 (2 wallets) · 7d net $603 · 7/7 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

33.5%

Yes

Implied No

66.5%

Volume

$6.7k

CLOB

Traders

442 trades

Yes 33.5%No 66.5%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$11

Buy

$12

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$603

Buy

$1.4k

Sell

$808

Whales

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($11)
•7d whale net still positive ($603)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 33.5% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($6.7k) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-08-04 20:05:47

65.0¢$3

YESBUY2026-08-04 20:05:47

35.0¢$2

NOBUY2026-08-04 11:38:14

153.8¢$14

NOBUY2026-08-04 11:38:14

65.0¢$9

NOBUY2026-08-03 18:30:50

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x6d72…a399	$1.2k	$445	$798	$354
0x6d84…3907	$1.2k	$1.2k	$0	$-1.2k
0xdae8…8c95	$1.0k	$585	$452	$-133
0xf22b…7eab	$349	$136	$214	$78

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x6d84…3907	30	$2.4k	$-2.1k	5
0xf22b…7eab	77	$1.5k	$125	4
0xad53…ef24	77	$1.4k	$-856	7
0x6d72…a399	8	$1.3k

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