Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027?

0xed7d2179f14f3ac58b41de0bf01d4c9683c900cb46d766bc82809c28b65b9ea8

Bullish lean

Implied Yes 63.6% · CLOB volume $3.6k · whales 24h net $2 (2 wallets) · 7d net $375 · 4/7 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

63.6%

Yes

Implied No

36.4%

Volume

$3.6k

CLOB

Traders

323 trades

Yes 63.6%No 36.4%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$375

Buy

$825

Sell

$450

Whales

Bull case

•Market prices Yes at 63.6%
•Whales net buyers 24h ($2)
•7d whale net still positive ($375)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($3.6k) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-08-04 11:59:57

177.9¢$2

NOBUY2026-08-04 11:59:57

56.2¢$1

NOBUY2026-08-02 22:23:35

66.8¢$5

YESBUY2026-08-02 22:23:35

33.2¢$2

—BUY2026-08-02 13:16:26

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x279c…2b82	$2.0k	$1.3k	$720	$-534
0xad53…ef24	$433	$330	$103	$-227
0x1ee9…197f	$425	$306	$119	$-187
0xf135…b37b	$276	$91	$185	$94

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x31ab…86cf	17	$48.3k	$-16.7k	1
0x993f…3ee3	128	$42.0k	$-30.7k	4
0x2d99…4ca3	4	$32.2k	$32	1
0xed10…d2e5	93	$30.6k

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