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What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?Active 102 days left

Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?

0xf3519e50e99fa353443d45060813453b1b717e463b5b76c306e85e8f5b026116

As of Sep 21, 2026, “Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?” trades at 1% YES on Polymarket with $1.59M total volume.

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 0.5% · CLOB volume $1.59M · whales 24h net $173 (1 wallets) · 7d net $6.2k · 28/42 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

0.5%

Yes

Implied No

99.5%

Volume

$1.59M

CLOB

Traders

5,533

42,682 trades

Yes 0.5%No 99.5%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$173

Buy

$173

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$6.2k

Buy

$15.9k

Sell

$9.7k

Whales

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($173)
•7d whale net still positive ($6.2k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 0.5% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

—BUY2026-09-21 13:57:47

0.6¢$1

NOBUY2026-09-21 13:57:47

16666.7¢$167

NOBUY2026-09-21 02:03:04

100.6¢$6

NOBUY2026-09-21 02:03:04

16666.7¢$6

NOBUY2026-09-20 20:12:20

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x40c5…5cba	$11.2k	$10.5k	$703	$-9.8k
0xd600…b66e	$11.0k	$8.5k	$2.5k	$-6.1k
0x6db9…4ab5	$9.9k	$5.0k	$4.9k	$-102
0x4e64…fc32	$8.1k	$6.0k	$2.1k	$-3.9k

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xe734…4f0c	1,278	$2.27M	$-1.23M	20
0x1465…7072	1,101	$1.72M	$-1.24M	13
0xcc50…4c82	2,953	$1.42M	$82.7k	21
0x6916…2fd4	1,925	$1.40M

Dig deeper with Polydata

Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.

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