0xf42d4830ad24f39a6522dbef1c094517f8d37e283f390a02b3162dac40002d45
As of Sep 21, 2026, “Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?” trades at 89% YES on Polymarket with $41.5k total volume.
Bullish lean
Implied Yes 89.1% · CLOB volume $41.5k · whales 24h net $512 (25 wallets) · 7d net $3.1k · 6/12 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
89.1%
Yes
Implied No
10.9%
No
Volume
$41.5k
CLOB
Traders
336
2,631 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
92.3% → 88.8% (-3.5pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$512
Buy
$737
Sell
$225
Whales
25
Last 7 days
Net flow
$3.1k
Buy
$8.5k
Sell
$5.5k
Whales
74
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xed10…d2e5 | $3.8k | $3.7k | $105 | $-3.6k |
| 0x814d…b842 | $3.1k | $1.6k | $1.5k | $-37 |
| 0x18c1…84c5 | $2.3k | $1.4k | $872 | $-551 |
| 0xc602…7fc1 | $2.3k | $2.0k | $247 | $-1.8k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x814d…b842 | 136 | $4.8k | $-390 | 4 |
| 0xb0c8…fe7f | 112 | $4.5k | $-3.0k | 8 |
| 0xed10…d2e5 | 85 | $3.8k | $-3.6k | 1 |
| 0x28bf…4a4e | 76 | $2.7k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
6 open · 12 total · Event board
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
open · $41.5k
89.1%
Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
open · $17.7k
9.0%
Will Ilia Topuria be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
open · $21.2k
0.7%
Will Paddy Pimblett be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
open · $528.5k
0.4%
Will Max Holloway be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
open · $18.6k
0.4%
Will Charles Oliveira be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
open · $10.3k
0.3%
Will Benoît Saint Denis be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
closed · $54.2k
0.1%
Will Mauricio Ruffy be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
closed · $4.8k
0.1%
Will Renato Moicano be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
closed · $2.4k
0.1%
Will Dan Hooker be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
closed · $2.2k
0.1%
Will Rafael Fiziev be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
closed · $2.1k
0.1%
Will Mateusz Gamrot be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
closed · $2.0k
0.1%
| 0xb220…b07c | $1.5k | $1.3k | $185 | $-1.1k |
| 0xe542…0a37 | $1.3k | $678 | $610 | $-68 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $1.2k | $1.2k | $0 | $-1.2k |
| 0x8728…0882 | $1.2k | $217 | $935 | $718 |
| 0x014c…820c | $1.1k | $115 | $984 | $869 |
| 0x852e…ca77 | $1.0k | $500 | $546 | $46 |
| 0xed8b…7954 | $860 | $565 | $295 | $-270 |
| 0xb0c8…fe7f | $832 | $90 | $742 | $652 |
| $-2.5k |
| 7 |
| 0xc602…7fc1 | 82 | $2.3k | $-1.8k | 3 |
| 0x18c1…84c5 | 31 | $2.3k | $-551 | 1 |
| 0x852e…ca77 | 244 | $2.2k | $40 | 5 |
| 0x8728…0882 | 131 | $2.0k | $1.4k | 4 |
| 0x510f…a43c | 133 | $1.6k | $-1.5k | 6 |
| 0x2c0c…2d98 | 18 | $1.6k | $1.6k | 1 |
