Will Lucid announce bankruptcy before 2027?

0xfb037f25bd5c9a5854438de4aba47636d5d98930cef104ca1f2d3840f00c1a37

Bearish lean

Implied Yes 30.6% · CLOB volume $245 · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $61 · 14/15 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

30.6%

Yes

Implied No

69.5%

Volume

$245

CLOB

Traders

57 trades

Yes 30.6%No 69.5%

Source: markets+gamma+gamma+mv_market_daily · live CLOB mid

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$61

Buy

$70

Sell

Whales

Bull case

•7d whale net still positive ($61)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 30.6% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($245) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

18 shown

NOBUY2026-07-20 17:45:33

184.8¢$1

—BUY2026-07-20 17:45:33

54.1¢$1

—BUY2026-07-15 21:45:35

45.7¢$1

—BUY2026-07-15 21:45:35

54.3¢$1

NOBUY2026-07-15 19:44:44

84.8¢

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x3cbf…cedb	327	$9.5k	$1.4k	3
0xed10…d2e5	8	$4.0k	$-9	1
0xcaab…24dd	5	$2.1k	$-2.1k	1
0x4452…7ae7	37	$2.0k	$-1.2k

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