Multi-outcome · 7 open
How many Republican House members not running in 2026?
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 36 and 39 inclusive?
open · $7.0k
79.5%
Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 40 and 43 inclusive?
open · $3.7k
7.0%
Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be fewer than 24?
open · $6.1k
6.2%
Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be 44 or more?
open · $3.5k
2.9%
Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 24 and 27 inclusive?
open · $19.9k
2.3%
Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 32 and 35 inclusive?
open · $6.0k
0.7%
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