Multi-outcome · 7 open
How many Democratic House members not running in 2026?
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 20 and 23 inclusive?
open · $6.0k
37.8%
Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 24 and 27 inclusive?
open · $4.5k
27.0%
Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 28 and 31 inclusive?
open · $1.3k
16.0%
Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 32 and 35 inclusive?
open · $4.0k
11.3%
Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be 40 or more?
open · $1.1k
7.1%
Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 36 and 39 inclusive?
open · $874
5.7%
Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be fewer than 20?
open · $17.2k
3.3%
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