Multi-outcome · 8 open
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
Volume $213.8kTraders 193Trades 9,672
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
open · $113.7k
60.0%
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
open · $98.6k
32.5%
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
open · $158.4k
5.8%
Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
open · $61.0k
2.1%
Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
open · $8.2k
1.7%
Will more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
open · $12.4k
0.9%
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