0xacff734fd12b552ebab5edb2220cf23c19bda7728b3673a44b0c515a2c60c3d5
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?” trades at 46% YES on Polymarket with $104.2k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 46.0% · CLOB volume $104.2k · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $256 · 6/8 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
46.0%
Yes
Implied No
54.0%
No
Volume
$104.2k
CLOB
Traders
458
2,278 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$0
Buy
$0
Sell
$0
Whales
0
Last 7 days
Net flow
$256
Buy
$467
Sell
$211
Whales
19
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa8ae…8eb7 | $827 | $440 | $387 | $-54 |
| 0xbd65…304f | $551 | $327 | $224 | $-103 |
| 0x7609…6c4e | $496 | $496 | $0 | $-496 |
| 0xad53…ef24 | $422 | $375 | $48 | $-327 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x0314…2f6d | 92 | $2.8k | $-234 | 4 |
| 0xdabd…6ada | 86 | $1.6k | $-123 | 6 |
| 0x1387…55f8 | 13 | $1.1k | $-723 | 6 |
| 0x4f1d…8de2 | 81 | $1.0k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
6 open · 8 total · Event board
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
open · $118.5k
54.0%
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
open · $104.2k
46.0%
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
open · $163.3k
1.3%
Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
open · $65.3k
0.5%
Will more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
open · $15.2k
0.4%
Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
open · $11.3k
0.1%
Will 15-16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
closed · $32.0k
0.1%
Will 13-14 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
closed · $11.1k
0.1%
| 0x95db…f2a7 | $422 | $227 | $195 | $-32 |
| 0x014c…820c | $292 | $106 | $186 | $79 |
| 0x1387…55f8 | $288 | $105 | $183 | $79 |
| 0x50c8…fa2a | $237 | $127 | $110 | $-16 |
| 0xfe2d…da35 | $223 | $81 | $142 | $60 |
| 0x0314…2f6d | $184 | $117 | $67 | $-50 |
| 0xac86…8d87 | $184 | $130 | $53 | $-77 |
| 0x6618…c916 | $161 | $161 | $0 | $-161 |
| $-808 |
| 8 |
| 0xad53…ef24 | 73 | $1.0k | $-781 | 3 |
| 0xfe2d…da35 | 67 | $936 | $-465 | 8 |
| 0xa8ae…8eb7 | 31 | $827 | $-54 | 1 |
| 0xe40a…e4a2 | 41 | $780 | $-687 | 8 |
| 0xf83e…4663 | 63 | $748 | $-511 | 8 |
| 0x907d…20c4 | 78 | $615 | $-615 | 4 |
