Multi-outcome · 12 open · 2 closed hidden
What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in October 2026?
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in October?
open · $5.3k
49.5%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in October?
open · $8.8k
41.5%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in October?
open · $10.0k
24.0%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?
open · $16.5k
20.5%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in October?
open · $6.0k
10.5%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in October?
open · $17.8k
6.3%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in October?
open · $3.6k
5.5%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in October?
open · $8.6k
2.7%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in October?
open · $8.4k
1.5%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in October?
open · $5.7k
1.3%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in October?
open · $4.7k
1.3%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in October?
open · $4.6k
0.8%
Top event traders (30d)
- 0x982a…685113 mkts · $26.3k
- 0x403f…94f110 mkts · $11.0k
- 0x04cf…52243 mkts · $9.2k
- 0xc6fd…53df1 mkts · $9.1k
- 0xc97b…47e59 mkts · $9.0k
- 0x731a…033f2 mkts · $8.3k
- 0xa540…0b4312 mkts · $6.3k
- 0x7c9d…acff3 mkts · $6.2k
- 0x4a0b…7a111 mkts · $5.3k
- 0xf9ed…7ee99 mkts · $5.2k
- 0xa53b…40213 mkts · $3.4k
- 0x1018…72643 mkts · $3.3k
- 0xc602…7fc19 mkts · $3.0k
- 0x3764…c5eb8 mkts · $2.9k
- 0x7994…c5126 mkts · $2.6k