0x1cab04d0ecd92539f612aac4c31fcf741d2dbed1a9af69437d7d838bf7c4460f
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in October?” trades at 9% YES on Polymarket with $18.7k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 8.8% · CLOB volume $18.7k · whales 24h net $4.8k (46 wallets) · 7d net $11.8k · 12/14 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
8.8%
Yes
Implied No
91.3%
No
Volume
$18.7k
CLOB
Traders
99
490 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
3.9% → 7.3% (+3.4pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$4.8k
Buy
$9.6k
Sell
$4.8k
Whales
46
Last 7 days
Net flow
$11.8k
Buy
$22.3k
Sell
$10.6k
Whales
73
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x04cf…5224 | $6.4k | $4.1k | $2.3k | $-1.8k |
| 0x7c9d…acff | $3.8k | $3.3k | $481 | $-2.9k |
| 0x1018…7264 | $2.4k | $167 | $2.2k | $2.1k |
| 0x982a…6851 | $1.9k | $659 | $1.2k | $535 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x982a…6851 | 643 | $26.3k | $5.5k | 13 |
| 0x403f…94f1 | 292 | $11.0k | $-6.9k | 10 |
| 0x04cf…5224 | 81 | $9.2k | $-4.2k | 3 |
| 0xc6fd…53df | 7 | $9.1k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
12 open · 14 total · Event board
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in October?
closed · $18.3k
100.0%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in October?
closed · $591
100.0%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in October?
open · $5.3k
49.5%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in October?
open · $8.8k
41.5%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in October?
open · $10.0k
24.0%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?
open · $16.5k
20.5%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in October?
open · $6.0k
10.5%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in October?
open · $17.8k
6.3%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in October?
open · $3.6k
5.5%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in October?
open · $8.6k
2.7%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in October?
open · $8.4k
1.5%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in October?
open · $5.7k
1.3%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in October?
open · $4.7k
1.3%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in October?
open · $4.6k
0.8%
| 0x167a…91d5 | $1.7k | $1.2k | $477 | $-758 |
| 0x3764…c5eb | $1.4k | $119 | $1.3k | $1.2k |
| 0x403f…94f1 | $1.4k | $1.4k | $29 | $-1.3k |
| 0x250c…2774 | $1.2k | $1.2k | $8 | $-1.2k |
| 0xc602…7fc1 | $966 | $716 | $250 | $-466 |
| 0xa540…0b43 | $934 | $507 | $427 | $-80 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $913 | $913 | $0 | $-913 |
| 0x7994…c512 | $857 | $657 | $200 | $-458 |
| $9.0k |
| 1 |
| 0xc97b…47e5 | 60 | $9.0k | $-8.5k | 9 |
| 0x731a…033f | 5 | $8.3k | $-8.3k | 2 |
| 0xa540…0b43 | 169 | $6.3k | $-3.6k | 12 |
| 0x7c9d…acff | 98 | $6.2k | $-4.2k | 3 |
| 0x4a0b…7a11 | 8 | $5.3k | $-4.7k | 1 |
| 0xf9ed…7ee9 | 158 | $5.2k | $-4.1k | 9 |
