0xf4f79d912087967dea3126bbec1760b1e872de12f47d8e40b6406470453556a6
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in October?” trades at 11% YES on Polymarket with $6.0k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 10.5% · CLOB volume $6.0k · whales 24h net $241 (21 wallets) · 7d net $2.6k · 12/14 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
10.5%
Yes
Implied No
89.5%
No
Volume
$6.0k
CLOB
Traders
58
221 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
12.0% → 11.0% (-1.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$241
Buy
$774
Sell
$533
Whales
21
Last 7 days
Net flow
$2.6k
Buy
$5.8k
Sell
$3.2k
Whales
49
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x982a…6851 | $3.2k | $1.2k | $2.0k | $825 |
| 0xa540…0b43 | $787 | $735 | $52 | $-682 |
| 0x3f5e…ddcf | $775 | $386 | $389 | $4 |
| 0x3764…c5eb | $643 | $368 | $274 | $-94 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x982a…6851 | 643 | $26.3k | $5.5k | 13 |
| 0x403f…94f1 | 292 | $11.0k | $-6.9k | 10 |
| 0x04cf…5224 | 81 | $9.2k | $-4.2k | 3 |
| 0xc6fd…53df | 7 | $9.1k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
12 open · 14 total · Event board
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in October?
closed · $18.3k
100.0%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in October?
closed · $591
100.0%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in October?
open · $5.3k
50.0%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in October?
open · $8.8k
41.5%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in October?
open · $10.0k
24.0%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?
open · $16.5k
19.0%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in October?
open · $6.0k
10.5%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in October?
open · $19.2k
8.1%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in October?
open · $3.6k
5.5%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in October?
open · $9.5k
2.8%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in October?
open · $8.4k
1.5%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in October?
open · $5.7k
1.3%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in October?
open · $4.7k
1.3%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in October?
open · $4.6k
0.8%
| 0x88aa…ea6f | $487 | $414 | $73 | $-341 |
| 0xf9ed…7ee9 | $451 | $451 | $0 | $-451 |
| 0x403f…94f1 | $431 | $350 | $81 | $-269 |
| 0xde08…9d62 | $321 | $183 | $139 | $-44 |
| 0xc602…7fc1 | $319 | $319 | $0 | $-319 |
| 0x4959…a6f5 | $258 | $258 | $0 | $-258 |
| 0xbc42…790f | $197 | $149 | $48 | $-101 |
| 0x625b…22cf | $191 | $129 | $62 | $-66 |
| $9.0k |
| 1 |
| 0xc97b…47e5 | 60 | $9.0k | $-8.5k | 9 |
| 0x731a…033f | 5 | $8.3k | $-8.3k | 2 |
| 0x7c9d…acff | 99 | $6.5k | $-4.4k | 3 |
| 0xa540…0b43 | 169 | $6.3k | $-3.6k | 12 |
| 0x4a0b…7a11 | 8 | $5.3k | $-4.7k | 1 |
| 0xf9ed…7ee9 | 158 | $5.2k | $-4.1k | 9 |
