Multi-outcome · 6 open
What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?
Volume $28.3kTraders 68Trades 2,517
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at >$8,000 in December?
open · $3.7k
26.5%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,000-$7,500 in December?
open · $1.9k
21.0%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,500-$8,000 in December?
open · $3.4k
20.5%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,500-$7,000 in December?
open · $3.5k
19.0%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,000-$6,500 in December?
open · $2.0k
11.5%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?
open · $19.7k
8.0%
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