Multi-outcome · 9 open
Strava IPO Closing Market Cap
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Will Strava’s market cap be between $2B and $3B at market close on IPO day?
open · $54.4k
39.5%
Will Strava’s market cap be between $3B and $4B at market close on IPO day?
open · $26.4k
27.6%
Will Strava’s market cap be between $7B and $10B at market close on IPO day?
open · $1.1k
26.4%
Will Strava’s market cap be at least $15B at market close on IPO day?
open · $1.4k
16.5%
Will Strava’s market cap be between $4B and $5B at market close on IPO day?
open · $1.3k
8.5%
Will Strava’s market cap be between $5B and $7B at market close on IPO day?
open · $933
8.3%
Will Strava not IPO by December 31, 2027?
open · $681
7.4%
Will Strava’s market cap be less than $2B at market close on IPO day?
open · $896
7.2%
Will Strava’s market cap be between $10B and $15B at market close on IPO day?
open · $1.7k
5.8%
Top event traders (30d)
- 0x4a7c…1dc72 mkts · $407
- 0x2b59…9db69 mkts · $177
- 0x8fe7…6c1f9 mkts · $162
- 0x5136…0e4f7 mkts · $126
- 0xb41e…11fd5 mkts · $122
- 0xcfff…673d4 mkts · $101
- 0x5195…44eb9 mkts · $99
- 0x7915…4c1a1 mkts · $98
- 0x7257…fc406 mkts · $94
- 0x510f…a43c3 mkts · $74
- 0x9474…50918 mkts · $74
- 0x342c…24541 mkts · $52
- 0x184b…67b24 mkts · $45
- 0x5146…ac5e2 mkts · $42
- 0x250c…27745 mkts · $36