Multi-outcome · 20 open
Which companies will the US take a stake in?
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Will the US federal government take a stake in GlobalFoundries Inc.?
open · $5.8k
87.8%
Will the US federal government take a stake in D-Wave Quantum Inc.?
open · $3.7k
83.5%
Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.?
open · $24.7k
67.7%
Will the US federal government take a stake in Unusual Machines?
open · $3
31.0%
Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?
open · $9.5k
22.5%
Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.?
open · $42.2k
21.0%
Will the US federal government take a stake in NVIDIA Corporation?
open · $15.7k
18.0%
Will the US federal government take a stake in IonQ, Inc.?
open · $2.4k
18.0%
Will the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company?
open · $9.5k
15.5%
Will the US federal government take a stake in Lockheed Martin Corporation?
open · $1.9k
15.0%
Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited?
open · $14.0k
14.0%
Will the US federal government take a stake in Palantir Technologies Inc.?
open · $3.1k
14.0%
Will the US federal government take a stake in Anthropic PBC?
open · $5.5k
12.5%
Will the US federal government take a stake in SpaceX?
open · $18
12.0%
Will the US federal government take a stake in Eli Lilly and Company?
open · $2.7k
10.5%
Will the US federal government take a stake in Pfizer Inc.?
open · $6.1k
10.0%
Will the US federal government take a stake in Micron Technology, Inc.?
open · $1.4k
9.5%
Will the US federal government take a stake in Freeport-McMoRan Inc.?
open · $2.9k
9.0%
Will the US federal government take a stake in Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd.?
open · $10.0k
6.0%
Will the US federal government take a stake in TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC or Bytedance?
open · $6.0k
3.6%
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