0xf0cfdff5567f3b71dca486d4be95501fc515e402f0c6e098a118c9d52f931d00
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited?” trades at 12% YES on Polymarket with $17.1k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 12.0% · CLOB volume $17.1k · whales 24h net $359 (20 wallets) · 7d net $624 · 17/20 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
12.0%
Yes
Implied No
88.0%
No
Volume
$17.1k
CLOB
Traders
168
877 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
14.0% → 12.0% (-2.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$359
Buy
$807
Sell
$448
Whales
20
Last 7 days
Net flow
$624
Buy
$1.3k
Sell
$671
Whales
24
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x032e…2a9e | $786 | $198 | $588 | $389 |
| 0xe8c4…ea5c | $397 | $359 | $38 | $-321 |
| 0x836f…906e | $396 | $291 | $105 | $-187 |
| 0x510f…a43c | $236 | $210 | $25 | $-185 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x836f…906e | 200 | $7.0k | $-2.5k | 10 |
| 0xad53…ef24 | 383 | $4.4k | $-198 | 19 |
| 0x808a…ef3f | 269 | $4.0k | $284 | 15 |
| 0xefac…c9a1 | 258 | $2.9k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
17 open · 20 total · Event board
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Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited?
open · $17.1k
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3.9%
| 0xcceb…f030 | $214 | $146 | $68 | $-77 |
| 0x6b0e…e3ea | $207 | $182 | $25 | $-157 |
| 0xad53…ef24 | $206 | $106 | $100 | $-6 |
| 0xefac…c9a1 | $204 | $25 | $179 | $154 |
| 0x8394…8d66 | $201 | $151 | $50 | $-101 |
| 0x321e…9292 | $197 | $128 | $69 | $-59 |
| 0x7b25…e4be | $158 | $118 | $40 | $-78 |
| 0x808a…ef3f | $131 | $69 | $62 | $-7 |
| $1.3k |
| 10 |
| 0x74f1…16a8 | 57 | $2.6k | $-2.0k | 3 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 175 | $2.5k | $-2.4k | 15 |
| 0x94d9…bc47 | 141 | $2.4k | $-198 | 8 |
| 0x3080…337b | 52 | $1.9k | $-704 | 8 |
| 0x6b0e…e3ea | 173 | $1.8k | $-1.6k | 12 |
| 0x0fa2…05aa | 159 | $1.6k | $-200 | 10 |
