Multi-outcome · 9 open
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
open · $24.8k
78.0%
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
open · $12.6k
11.5%
Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
open · $10.8k
7.9%
Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
open · $12.9k
3.4%
Will xAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
open · $8.7k
1.0%
Will DeepSeek be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
open · $12.5k
0.6%
Will Alibaba be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
open · $10.6k
0.6%
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