Multi-outcome · 46 open

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

Volume $347.4kTraders 508Trades 13,852

Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.

Probability ladder · open only

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $8.4k
95.0%
Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $6.9k
89.5%
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $24.7k
85.0%
Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $12.7k
83.5%
Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $3.6k
83.5%
Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $8.9k
74.5%
Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $6.8k
62.5%
Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $7.4k
58.0%
Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $6.8k
56.5%
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $1.5k
56.5%
Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $10.7k
46.0%
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $10.1k
37.0%
Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $9.1k
37.0%
Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $6.1k
35.5%
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $9.2k
31.0%
Will François Ruffin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $1.6k
29.5%
Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $18.4k
14.7%
Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $9.4k
13.5%
Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $10.8k
12.5%
Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $8.3k
12.5%
Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $6.0k
12.0%
Will Sébastien Lecornu be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $1.2k
9.3%
Will Olivier Faure be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $3.4k
9.0%
Will Manuel Bompard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $3.3k
9.0%
Will Philippe de Villiers be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $3.1k
7.5%
Will Jérôme Guedj be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.1k
7.0%
Will Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $7.9k
6.5%
Will Ségolène Royal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $1.8k
6.5%
Will Gérald Darmanin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $3.5k
6.3%
Will François Bayrou be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $5.0k
6.2%
Will Jean-Michel Fauvergue be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $1.6k
5.5%
Will Karim Bouamrane be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $3.1k
5.0%
Will Jean Castex be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.7k
4.6%
Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.6k
4.5%
Will Manuel Valls be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $985
4.2%
Will Clémentine Autain be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $1.6k
4.0%
Will Carole Delga be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $3.1k
3.9%
Will Teddy Riner be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $364
3.5%
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $485
3.4%
Will Bally Bagayoko be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $6.3k
3.0%
Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $20.0k
2.9%
Will Delphine Batho be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $805
2.7%
Will Michel Barnier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.2k
1.8%
Will Valérie Pécresse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $593
1.7%
Will Mathilde Panot be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $1.9k
1.6%
Will Élisabeth Borne be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $970
1.4%

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