Multi-outcome · 46 open

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

Volume $666.6kTraders 476Trades 23,406

Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.

Probability ladder · open only

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $21.6k
94.3%
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $34.5k
91.5%
Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $20.3k
91.0%
Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $8.2k
88.0%
Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $18.5k
86.5%
Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $4.7k
79.0%
Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $21.9k
72.5%
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $3.0k
65.0%
Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $15.3k
58.0%
Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $13.9k
56.5%
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $35.4k
37.0%
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $21.2k
32.5%
Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $12.4k
26.5%
Will François Ruffin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.6k
24.5%
Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $17.2k
19.5%
Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $14.3k
19.0%
Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $37.9k
16.0%
Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $7.7k
12.5%
Will Olivier Faure be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $4.7k
11.6%
Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $14.2k
10.5%
Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $12.0k
10.3%
Will Delphine Batho be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.5k
9.2%
Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $9.1k
8.5%
Will Élisabeth Borne be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.4k
6.8%
Will Michel Barnier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $3.2k
6.3%
Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $32.3k
6.3%
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $1.9k
5.7%
Will Jean-Michel Fauvergue be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $3.5k
5.5%
Will Carole Delga be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $4.9k
5.3%
Will Jérôme Guedj be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $7.2k
5.3%
Will François Bayrou be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $5.3k
5.0%
Will Philippe de Villiers be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $4.3k
4.8%
Will Jean Castex be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $3.9k
4.7%
Will Bally Bagayoko be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $7.9k
4.7%
Will Karim Bouamrane be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $11.3k
4.5%
Will Manuel Valls be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $1.2k
4.3%
Will Mathilde Panot be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $3.4k
4.0%
Will Valérie Pécresse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $1.4k
3.9%
Will Sébastien Lecornu be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $4.9k
3.6%
Will Manuel Bompard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $4.5k
3.5%
Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $21.6k
3.3%
Will Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $10.0k
2.8%
Will Teddy Riner be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $7.9k
2.7%
Will Ségolène Royal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $3.9k
2.7%
Will Gérald Darmanin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $6.1k
2.6%
Will Clémentine Autain be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $1.9k
1.1%

Probability ladder · open only

Top event traders (30d)