0xcdde3052a795eaa094058fdf0f30ce714b4918394ae6168cb458b39286e75d4f
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will Gérald Darmanin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?” trades at 3% YES on Polymarket with $6.1k total volume.
Bearish lean
Implied Yes 2.6% · CLOB volume $6.1k · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $3 · 46/46 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
2.6%
Yes
Implied No
97.4%
No
Volume
$6.1k
CLOB
Traders
72
304 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$0
Buy
$0
Sell
$0
Whales
0
Last 7 days
Net flow
$3
Buy
$73
Sell
$70
Whales
3
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xe947…ab96 | $1.1k | $667 | $398 | $-269 |
| 0x9cb9…7b80 | $398 | $398 | $0 | $-398 |
| 0x321e…9292 | $256 | $229 | $27 | $-202 |
| 0xd60e…3f84 | $72 | $71 | $1 | $-70 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x0dde…94c3 | 206 | $29.9k | $-7.5k | 9 |
| 0x6f40…eb64 | 150 | $22.3k | $-5.8k | 5 |
| 0xfb51…742d | 180 | $18.6k | $-14.9k | 13 |
| 0x0d4f…000e | 681 | $15.7k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
46 open · 46 total · Event board
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $21.6k
94.3%
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $34.5k
91.5%
Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $20.3k
91.0%
Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $8.2k
88.0%
Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $18.5k
87.5%
Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $4.7k
80.0%
Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $21.9k
72.5%
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $3.0k
66.0%
Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $15.3k
58.0%
Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $13.9k
56.0%
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $35.4k
35.0%
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $21.2k
32.5%
Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $12.4k
27.0%
Will François Ruffin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.6k
24.5%
Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $17.2k
19.5%
Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $14.3k
18.5%
Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $37.9k
15.5%
Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $7.7k
12.5%
Will Olivier Faure be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $4.7k
11.6%
Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $14.2k
11.0%
| 0xad53…ef24 | $72 | $2 | $70 | $68 |
| 0x46b1…428c | $63 | $31 | $31 | $0 |
| 0xa815…9cbe | $53 | $53 | $0 | $-53 |
| 0xc602…7fc1 | $31 | $31 | $0 | $-31 |
| 0x5ddd…80c6 | $27 | $14 | $14 | $0 |
| 0x758d…5d9e | $21 | $21 | $0 | $-20 |
| 0x7b25…e4be | $21 | $21 | $0 | $-21 |
| 0x838b…46ed | $21 | $21 | $0 | $-21 |
| $-1.4k |
| 6 |
| 0x6491…74b2 | 445 | $15.1k | $-1.6k | 14 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 367 | $13.0k | $-13.0k | 30 |
| 0x321e…9292 | 500 | $11.0k | $-5.5k | 45 |
| 0x9feb…bbc3 | 118 | $10.5k | $-1.2k | 5 |
| 0x5a0d…c6be | 319 | $10.0k | $-5.7k | 23 |
| 0xe947…ab96 | 244 | $9.5k | $-5.0k | 33 |
