0x4bda4a4df34e9929e7eecb7ee1adc0b6497ee79dddffe14be4b24237cd116cb7
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 31.5% · CLOB volume $128.7k · whales 24h net $1.3k (17 wallets) · 7d net $27.9k · 2/3 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
31.5%
Yes
Implied No
68.5%
No
Volume
$128.7k
CLOB
Traders
274
1,461 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
29.0% → 32.0% (+3.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$1.3k
Buy
$2.0k
Sell
$645
Whales
17
Last 7 days
Net flow
$27.9k
Buy
$48.5k
Sell
$20.6k
Whales
103
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xb37a…f1b1 | $19.1k | $11.4k | $7.6k | $-3.8k |
| 0x40cf…d21d | $10.3k | $7.5k | $2.8k | $-4.7k |
| 0x9c98…f4f4 | $6.2k | $3.6k | $2.6k | $-940 |
| 0x9765…436b | $4.3k | $2.4k | $1.9k | $-564 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x40cf…d21d | 197 | $20.7k | $-8.1k | 3 |
| 0xb37a…f1b1 | 58 | $19.6k | $-4.3k | 2 |
| 0x9765…436b | 60 | $15.7k | $-9.3k | 3 |
| 0x16f0…aba5 | 93 | $13.3k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
2 open · 3 total · Event board
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
open · $128.7k
31.5%
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?
open · $23.8k
11.0%
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
closed · $240.5k
0.0%
| 0x06ac…79ec | $3.6k | $3.6k | $0 | $-3.6k |
| 0x97d3…3f3c | $2.7k | $2.2k | $488 | $-1.7k |
| 0xeca0…e8f8 | $2.5k | $1.6k | $889 | $-719 |
| 0x38f5…6824 | $2.3k | $1.2k | $1.1k | $-56 |
| 0xbd81…c215 | $2.1k | $1.3k | $830 | $-423 |
| 0xd056…f1be | $2.1k | $1.3k | $791 | $-491 |
| 0x165e…f5aa | $2.0k | $2.0k | $0 | $-2.0k |
| 0x88b0…693f | $1.9k | $1.9k | $0 | $-1.9k |
| $-2.9k |
| 1 |
| 0x06ac…79ec | 35 | $12.0k | $-12.0k | 2 |
| 0xf17c…0c29 | 53 | $11.9k | $-5.9k | 2 |
| 0x5c22…e4db | 68 | $9.2k | $-1.2k | 2 |
| 0x9ca1…13b5 | 38 | $7.5k | $-5.7k | 2 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 194 | $7.4k | $-7.4k | 2 |
| 0xc64a…fef1 | 23 | $7.2k | $-574 | 1 |
