Multi-outcome · 17 open
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027?
open · $19.5k
21.5%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?
open · $66.9k
21.0%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027?
open · $32.8k
17.2%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Israel" before 2027?
open · $480
16.0%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?
open · $58.1k
14.0%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?
open · $2.7k
13.5%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027?
open · $22.2k
12.5%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027?
open · $6.7k
12.5%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia" before 2027?
open · $6.2k
12.0%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Africa" before 2027?
open · $424
12.0%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?
open · $105.4k
11.0%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "United Kingdom" before 2027?
open · $492
11.0%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan" before 2027?
open · $17.2k
10.0%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Russia" before 2027?
open · $2.2k
9.5%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027?
open · $4.4k
9.2%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?
open · $13.2k
9.1%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?
open · $3.1k
7.0%
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