Will Ayo Edebiri – “The Bear” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series?

0x01764694c2ea308e5fe52db73c79c22f03260ed86bb8f38b5de7511030785010

Bearish lean

Implied Yes 1.3% · CLOB volume $466 · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $40 · 5/5 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

1.3%

Yes

Implied No

98.7%

Volume

$466

CLOB

Traders

14 trades

Yes 1.3%No 98.7%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$40

Buy

$40

Sell

Whales

Bull case

•7d whale net still positive ($40)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 1.3% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($466) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

14 shown

NOBUY2026-07-30 04:23:23

99.3¢$40

—BUY2026-07-30 04:23:23

0.7¢$0

NOBUY2026-07-30 04:23:06

99.3¢$40

—BUY2026-07-30 04:23:06

0.7¢$0

NOBUY2026-07-28 13:29:40

99.3¢

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0xd23f…94a1	$51	$50	$0	$-50
0x0380…073d	$40	$40	$0	$-39
0x9f20…12c3	$40	$40	$0	$-39
0xfbd8…4027	$20	$20	$0	$-20

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xbd51…e73d	17	$2.2k	$-812	1
0x1ecc…53a9	10	$1.6k	$-131	2
0x45e7…d77c	8	$1.4k	$-493	1
0xc3fc…484a	13	$1.3k

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