0x0a99479228e93524b25676ae69b94bd3f4278a6bca8d8c265c84d24755399cf5
As of Sep 21, 2026, “Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?” trades at 34% YES on Polymarket with $1.22M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 34.0% · CLOB volume $1.22M · whales 24h net $7.6k (45 wallets) · 7d net $32.5k · 2/2 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
34.0%
Yes
Implied No
66.0%
No
Volume
$1.22M
CLOB
Traders
1,080
8,861 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
35.0% → 34.0% (-1.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$7.6k
Buy
$17.6k
Sell
$10.0k
Whales
45
Last 7 days
Net flow
$32.5k
Buy
$65.4k
Sell
$32.9k
Whales
99
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xcfee…ffcd | $60.7k | $30.5k | $30.2k | $-271 |
| 0x011f…1122 | $11.3k | $11.3k | $0 | $-11.3k |
| 0xf0ed…47d8 | $10.4k | $3.1k | $7.3k | $4.2k |
| 0x5677…2ce9 | $9.6k | $9.1k | $488 | $-8.6k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xcfee…ffcd | 174 | $104.5k | $-4.0k | 2 |
| 0x3a34…c974 | 40 | $79.2k | $-19.6k | 1 |
| 0xe4d3…a194 | 24 | $36.9k | $-12.4k | 1 |
| 0x417c…47e5 | 39 | $36.2k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
2 open · 2 total
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $1.20M
65.5%
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $1.22M
34.0%
| 0xa8fe…4474 | $9.2k | $9.0k | $150 | $-8.9k |
| 0x8761…0611 | $7.6k | $4.3k | $3.3k | $-1.0k |
| 0x6139…6b7a | $7.2k | $7.2k | $0 | $-7.2k |
| 0x2321…84b7 | $6.7k | $3.9k | $2.8k | $-1.1k |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $6.2k | $6.2k | $0 | $-6.2k |
| 0xcc36…53c3 | $5.9k | $3.0k | $3.0k | $0 |
| 0x3e6e…9338 | $5.0k | $5.0k | $0 | $-5.0k |
| 0xa8b7…ee3c | $4.8k | $4.8k | $0 | $-4.8k |
| $-13.2k |
| 1 |
| 0x2061…8ec9 | 13 | $24.1k | $-8.7k | 1 |
| 0xfea3…d227 | 10 | $23.8k | $-23.8k | 1 |
| 0x011f…1122 | 32 | $19.8k | $-19.8k | 2 |
| 0x6139…6b7a | 12 | $19.7k | $-19.7k | 2 |
| 0x3e6e…9338 | 75 | $16.1k | $-16.1k | 2 |
| 0x5677…2ce9 | 85 | $13.0k | $-12.0k | 2 |
