0xb106a3c9d1c59ed8117493dae6459a3ff79369a8f7cddaf62f4a05828b89195e
As of Sep 21, 2026, “Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?” trades at 66% YES on Polymarket with $1.20M total volume.
Bullish lean
Implied Yes 65.5% · CLOB volume $1.20M · whales 24h net $16.8k (49 wallets) · 7d net $26.5k · 2/2 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
65.5%
Yes
Implied No
34.5%
No
Volume
$1.20M
CLOB
Traders
1,150
8,204 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
64.0% → 66.0% (+2.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$16.8k
Buy
$30.5k
Sell
$13.7k
Whales
49
Last 7 days
Net flow
$26.5k
Buy
$49.6k
Sell
$23.1k
Whales
75
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x3a34…c974 | $79.2k | $49.4k | $29.8k | $-19.6k |
| 0xcfee…ffcd | $43.8k | $23.8k | $20.0k | $-3.8k |
| 0xe4d3…a194 | $36.9k | $24.6k | $12.2k | $-12.4k |
| 0x417c…47e5 | $36.2k | $24.7k | $11.5k | $-13.2k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xcfee…ffcd | 174 | $104.5k | $-4.0k | 2 |
| 0x3a34…c974 | 40 | $79.2k | $-19.6k | 1 |
| 0xe4d3…a194 | 24 | $36.9k | $-12.4k | 1 |
| 0x417c…47e5 | 39 | $36.2k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
2 open · 2 total
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $1.20M
65.5%
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $1.22M
34.0%
| 0x2061…8ec9 | $24.1k | $16.4k | $7.7k | $-8.7k |
| 0xfea3…d227 | $23.8k | $23.8k | $0 | $-23.8k |
| 0x7921…cab1 | $12.9k | $12.9k | $60 | $-12.8k |
| 0x6139…6b7a | $12.4k | $12.4k | $0 | $-12.4k |
| 0x3e6e…9338 | $11.1k | $11.1k | $7 | $-11.1k |
| 0x319d…2538 | $11.0k | $7.0k | $4.0k | $-3.0k |
| 0x55a1…5a26 | $10.0k | $5.8k | $4.2k | $-1.6k |
| 0x96fc…cf38 | $9.3k | $6.5k | $2.8k | $-3.7k |
| $-13.2k |
| 1 |
| 0x2061…8ec9 | 13 | $24.1k | $-8.7k | 1 |
| 0xfea3…d227 | 10 | $23.8k | $-23.8k | 1 |
| 0x011f…1122 | 32 | $19.8k | $-19.8k | 2 |
| 0x6139…6b7a | 12 | $19.7k | $-19.7k | 2 |
| 0x3e6e…9338 | 75 | $16.1k | $-16.1k | 2 |
| 0x5677…2ce9 | 85 | $13.0k | $-12.0k | 2 |
