0x176e84015b1cc54d470836ef1d8a60753e17fa232d9b55e9aa8dde580d03f436
As of Sep 23, 2026, “Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?” trades at 14% YES on Polymarket with $2.07M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 14.0% · CLOB volume $2.07M · whales 24h net $43.3k (107 wallets) · 7d net $416.1k · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
14.0%
Yes
Implied No
86.0%
No
Volume
$2.07M
CLOB
Traders
1,613
16,442 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
19.0% → 15.0% (-4.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$43.3k
Buy
$94.1k
Sell
$50.8k
Whales
107
Last 7 days
Net flow
$416.1k
Buy
$853.8k
Sell
$437.7k
Whales
415
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xe52c…6924 | $275.2k | $222.0k | $53.3k | $-168.7k |
| 0xfffa…864b | $231.5k | $185.2k | $46.3k | $-139.0k |
| 0xc8b9…b836 | $147.0k | $67.5k | $79.5k | $11.9k |
| 0xeed8…35f0 | $76.8k | $51.5k | $25.2k | $-26.3k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xe52c…6924 | 324 | $275.2k | $-168.7k | 1 |
| 0xfffa…864b | 222 | $231.5k | $-139.0k | 1 |
| 0xc8b9…b836 | 104 | $147.0k | $11.9k | 1 |
| 0xeed8…35f0 | 276 | $76.8k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
1 open · 1 total
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
open · $2.07M
14.0%
| 0x3eae…e2ed | $71.6k | $48.2k | $23.4k | $-24.8k |
| 0x5b63…11a4 | $69.7k | $16.0k | $53.7k | $37.7k |
| 0x67ac…edf1 | $66.2k | $43.8k | $22.4k | $-21.5k |
| 0x94c4…43ca | $56.0k | $31.6k | $24.3k | $-7.3k |
| 0xa40d…ea7a | $53.7k | $50.6k | $3.1k | $-47.4k |
| 0x629b…995a | $53.5k | $41.6k | $12.0k | $-29.6k |
| 0x23d8…0288 | $52.9k | $9.6k | $43.2k | $33.6k |
| 0xd5b9…e44e | $51.2k | $33.2k | $18.0k | $-15.2k |
| $-26.3k |
| 1 |
| 0x3eae…e2ed | 66 | $71.6k | $-24.8k | 1 |
| 0x5b63…11a4 | 300 | $69.7k | $37.7k | 1 |
| 0x67ac…edf1 | 115 | $66.2k | $-21.5k | 1 |
| 0x94c4…43ca | 96 | $56.0k | $-7.3k | 1 |
| 0xa40d…ea7a | 141 | $53.7k | $-47.4k | 1 |
| 0x629b…995a | 94 | $53.5k | $-29.6k | 1 |
