0x24054faa76513d7d4c87d0f7d9fe8336317da6406d05aea6e623f3aed9dd0c6c
As of Sep 23, 2026, “Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?” trades at 4% YES on Polymarket with $25.2k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 4.3% · CLOB volume $25.2k · whales 24h net $1.3k (16 wallets) · 7d net $8.5k · 22/22 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
4.3%
Yes
Implied No
95.7%
No
Volume
$25.2k
CLOB
Traders
147
1,072 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
3.8% → 3.9% (+0.1pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$1.3k
Buy
$1.4k
Sell
$96
Whales
16
Last 7 days
Net flow
$8.5k
Buy
$15.4k
Sell
$6.9k
Whales
73
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xc602…7fc1 | $3.2k | $2.2k | $953 | $-1.3k |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $3.1k | $3.1k | $0 | $-3.1k |
| 0x7e35…1a6c | $2.6k | $1.2k | $1.4k | $279 |
| 0x4d01…1645 | $2.5k | $671 | $1.8k | $1.2k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x0f5d…7be1 | 14 | $48.9k | $-13.3k | 1 |
| 0x7e35…1a6c | 384 | $33.5k | $5.3k | 6 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 627 | $32.1k | $-30.1k | 22 |
| 0x1eb8…54af | 9 | $28.7k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
22 open · 22 total · Event board
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?
open · $118.4k
35.0%
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?
open · $114.0k
34.5%
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?
open · $18.0k
11.1%
Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?
open · $25.2k
4.4%
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?
open · $13.8k
2.9%
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?
open · $13.7k
2.5%
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?
open · $19.0k
1.6%
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?
open · $17.9k
1.4%
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?
open · $22.2k
1.2%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?
open · $13.4k
0.9%
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?
open · $14.5k
0.8%
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?
open · $19.0k
0.8%
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?
open · $15.8k
0.8%
Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?
open · $14.3k
0.7%
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?
open · $17.5k
0.7%
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?
open · $14.2k
0.7%
Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027?
open · $14.4k
0.7%
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?
open · $14.5k
0.4%
Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027?
open · $12.7k
0.4%
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?
open · $14.2k
0.3%
| 0x122c…fbed | $2.1k | $1.4k | $673 | $-725 |
| 0x2b30…2020 | $2.0k | $1.0k | $962 | $-41 |
| 0x9a69…c2a0 | $1.5k | $1.2k | $282 | $-904 |
| 0x1ff3…eb39 | $1.3k | $254 | $1.0k | $764 |
| 0xd950…ad1b | $1.1k | $967 | $170 | $-797 |
| 0x0380…073d | $979 | $797 | $182 | $-614 |
| 0x167a…91d5 | $879 | $724 | $155 | $-569 |
| 0x6261…7ce4 | $846 | $100 | $746 | $646 |
| $-6.9k |
| 1 |
| 0x15f2…92e2 | 6 | $28.5k | $-6.4k | 1 |
| 0xcaab…24dd | 155 | $26.2k | $-25.8k | 11 |
| 0x9a69…c2a0 | 328 | $22.3k | $-2.7k | 20 |
| 0x26ac…4aac | 6 | $21.8k | $-13.9k | 1 |
| 0x1e31…2c60 | 4 | $19.4k | $-7.2k | 1 |
| 0x0380…073d | 1,148 | $17.8k | $-14.3k | 22 |
