Multi-outcome · 22 open
Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?
open · $52.8k
42.5%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?
open · $8.9k
27.5%
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?
open · $4.7k
9.9%
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?
open · $4.2k
3.1%
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?
open · $7.2k
2.3%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?
open · $3.9k
2.3%
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?
open · $3.3k
2.3%
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?
open · $3.1k
1.9%
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?
open · $4.0k
1.5%
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?
open · $2.6k
1.5%
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?
open · $2.6k
1.3%
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?
open · $4.6k
1.1%
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?
open · $4.4k
1.1%
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?
open · $4.2k
1.1%
Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?
open · $3.1k
0.9%
Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027?
open · $2.2k
0.9%
Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?
open · $2.7k
0.7%
Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?
open · $3.0k
0.5%
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?
open · $2.8k
0.5%
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