Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

0x307a1ed89d60b61002dd5bbf00e1408c5ed2ab3fcdb056191ca7ef9bc34d38f3

Bearish lean

Implied Yes 43.5% · CLOB volume $2.09M · whales 24h net $-57.1k (10 wallets) · 7d net $-51.1k · 2/2 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

43.5%

Yes

Implied No

56.5%

Volume

$2.09M

CLOB

Traders

3,075

18,941 trades

Yes 43.5%No 56.5%

Source: markets+gamma+gamma+mv_market_daily · live CLOB mid

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$-57.1k

Buy

$143.5k

Sell

$200.6k

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$-51.1k

Buy

$157.6k

Sell

$208.7k

Whales

Bull case

•Market still active / open
•Watch for whale buy acceleration vs mid

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 43.5% — No favored
•Whales net sellers 24h ($-57.1k)
•7d whale net negative ($-51.1k)
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

YESBUY2026-08-01 12:53:20

44.0¢$31

NOBUY2026-08-01 12:53:20

227.3¢$70

YESBUY2026-08-01 10:57:44

44.0¢$1

NOBUY2026-08-01 10:57:44

227.3¢$2

NOBUY2026-08-01 07:31:11

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xa8a9…bb81	252	$338.5k	$-254.0k	1
0x1fee…ed5e	64	$190.9k	$-32.7k	2
0x23d8…0288	2	$144.0k	$56.0k	1
0x2061…8ec9	4	$98.2k

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