0x3849e1d62e0807801913d3e2427e8caf3cc6dd1c8ef42d8d5c08c6f9c449dc5e
Bullish lean
Implied Yes 84.0% · CLOB volume $427.7k · whales 24h net $3.3k (18 wallets) · 7d net $4.2k · 7/7 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
84.0%
Yes
Implied No
16.0%
No
Volume
$427.7k
CLOB
Traders
1,265
12,052 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
82.0% → 85.0% (+3.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$3.3k
Buy
$5.3k
Sell
$2.0k
Whales
18
Last 7 days
Net flow
$4.2k
Buy
$6.7k
Sell
$2.5k
Whales
22
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x79f2…18ff | $15.3k | $7.3k | $8.1k | $795 |
| 0xc8ab…6418 | $6.0k | $6.0k | $0 | $-6.0k |
| 0x4207…b81b | $3.9k | $2.9k | $1.0k | $-1.9k |
| 0x3e7b…a039 | $3.7k | $2.6k | $1.1k | $-1.5k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x79f2…18ff | 410 | $15.3k | $795 | 1 |
| 0xc8ab…6418 | 158 | $6.0k | $-6.0k | 1 |
| 0x22e4…ef1c | 61 | $4.4k | $-3.6k | 4 |
| 0x4207…b81b | 47 | $3.9k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
7 open · 7 total · Event board
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
open · $427.7k
84.0%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?
open · $216.0k
6.0%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?
open · $173.7k
4.5%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?
open · $150.4k
4.5%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
open · $524.7k
1.6%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
open · $304.0k
0.6%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?
open · $166.5k
0.3%
| 0xc456…8996 | $2.6k | $2.0k | $686 | $-1.3k |
| 0x68c2…1711 | $2.3k | $872 | $1.4k | $522 |
| 0xc602…7fc1 | $2.1k | $1.8k | $288 | $-1.5k |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $1.7k | $1.7k | $0 | $-1.7k |
| 0x7aed…df39 | $1.7k | $694 | $971 | $277 |
| 0x2bfb…5c9e | $1.6k | $700 | $941 | $241 |
| 0xc3fc…484a | $1.6k | $1.2k | $338 | $-909 |
| 0xa6f7…8545 | $1.5k | $733 | $789 | $56 |
| $-1.9k |
| 1 |
| 0x3e7b…a039 | 14 | $3.7k | $-1.5k | 1 |
| 0x511f…cbe1 | 131 | $3.2k | $-2.7k | 7 |
| 0xc602…7fc1 | 80 | $3.1k | $-2.3k | 6 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 85 | $2.8k | $-2.8k | 5 |
| 0xc456…8996 | 14 | $2.6k | $-1.3k | 1 |
| 0x4bac…5e79 | 134 | $2.6k | $-2.6k | 5 |