Multi-outcome · 7 open
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
Volume $1.07MTraders 541Trades 46,917
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
open · $427.7k
84.0%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?
open · $216.0k
6.0%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?
open · $173.7k
4.5%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?
open · $150.4k
4.5%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
open · $524.7k
1.6%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
open · $304.0k
0.6%
Top event traders (30d)
- 0x79f2…18ff1 mkts · $15.3k
- 0xc8ab…64181 mkts · $6.0k
- 0x22e4…ef1c4 mkts · $4.4k
- 0x4207…b81b1 mkts · $3.9k
- 0x3e7b…a0391 mkts · $3.7k
- 0x511f…cbe17 mkts · $3.2k
- 0xc602…7fc16 mkts · $3.1k
- 0x21ff…0d715 mkts · $2.8k
- 0xc456…89961 mkts · $2.6k
- 0x4bac…5e795 mkts · $2.6k
- 0x68c2…17111 mkts · $2.3k
- 0x66a1…80d96 mkts · $2.2k
- 0x2bfb…5c9e3 mkts · $1.9k
- 0x8473…70ef3 mkts · $1.9k
- 0x5a21…93187 mkts · $1.7k