0x3db0178f6ee00011e6ede975436532edec684ca3facc8f8eb26d8ce9f4464717
As of Sep 23, 2026, “Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?” trades at 55% YES on Polymarket with $529.7k total volume.
Bullish lean
Implied Yes 54.5% · CLOB volume $529.7k · whales 24h net $1.1k (21 wallets) · 7d net $69.1k · 5/5 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
54.5%
Yes
Implied No
45.5%
No
Volume
$529.7k
CLOB
Traders
734
8,983 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
57.6% → 55.0% (-2.6pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$1.1k
Buy
$2.4k
Sell
$1.3k
Whales
21
Last 7 days
Net flow
$69.1k
Buy
$127.6k
Sell
$58.5k
Whales
67
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x5b71…f772 | $37.1k | $28.3k | $8.8k | $-19.5k |
| 0x15f2…92e2 | $35.1k | $19.0k | $16.1k | $-2.8k |
| 0x11c4…6219 | $34.8k | $18.8k | $16.0k | $-2.8k |
| 0xd00e…e4ea | $31.2k | $18.4k | $12.9k | $-5.5k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x5b71…f772 | 7 | $37.1k | $-19.5k | 1 |
| 0x15f2…92e2 | 8 | $35.1k | $-2.8k | 1 |
| 0x11c4…6219 | 4 | $34.8k | $-2.8k | 1 |
| 0xd00e…e4ea | 5 | $31.2k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
5 open · 5 total · Event board
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?
open · $529.7k
54.5%
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?
open · $125.8k
31.0%
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?
open · $113.5k
11.7%
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?
open · $60.8k
1.8%
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?
open · $28.1k
1.1%
| 0x0f5d…7be1 | $27.7k | $27.7k | $5 | $-27.7k |
| 0x1eb8…54af | $12.0k | $9.8k | $2.2k | $-7.6k |
| 0x187f…5fee | $5.1k | $2.4k | $2.8k | $424 |
| 0xe0a2…a349 | $2.6k | $1.9k | $722 | $-1.2k |
| 0x21d0…ce91 | $2.0k | $1.2k | $853 | $-304 |
| 0x0f2b…665a | $1.9k | $1.3k | $573 | $-716 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $1.1k | $965 | $154 | $-811 |
| 0x321e…9292 | $1.0k | $680 | $333 | $-348 |
| $-5.5k |
| 1 |
| 0x0f5d…7be1 | 7 | $27.7k | $-27.7k | 1 |
| 0xc428…7093 | 11 | $21.6k | $-3.3k | 1 |
| 0x44af…12e8 | 6 | $18.0k | $-5.9k | 1 |
| 0xa27b…229a | 5 | $13.3k | $-4.0k | 1 |
| 0x1761…05ca | 3 | $12.1k | $-7.9k | 1 |
| 0x1eb8…54af | 4 | $12.0k | $-7.6k | 1 |