0x3dbbbe0f8e69b1aee0092e1eca397b24c954c00ecc54995035a8683201ad26aa
As of Sep 21, 2026, “Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?” trades at 16% YES on Polymarket with $143.5k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 15.5% · CLOB volume $143.5k · whales 24h net $2.6k (39 wallets) · 7d net $12.1k · 6/19 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
15.5%
Yes
Implied No
84.5%
No
Volume
$143.5k
CLOB
Traders
534
4,881 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
11.0% → 15.0% (+4.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$2.6k
Buy
$5.2k
Sell
$2.6k
Whales
39
Last 7 days
Net flow
$12.1k
Buy
$18.4k
Sell
$6.3k
Whales
87
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xc3d5…ff2d | $12.6k | $7.8k | $4.7k | $-3.1k |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $10.2k | $10.2k | $0 | $-10.2k |
| 0x9ddf…2c83 | $8.2k | $5.7k | $2.5k | $-3.2k |
| 0x6fd4…4fa0 | $7.4k | $6.3k | $1.1k | $-5.2k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 1,136 | $71.6k | $-71.6k | 10 |
| 0xbca8…b680 | 381 | $56.2k | $-493 | 3 |
| 0x0380…073d | 1,052 | $49.5k | $-31.8k | 15 |
| 0x9ddf…2c83 | 630 | $39.9k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
6 open · 19 total · Event board
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open · $360.8k
45.5%
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open · $248.1k
40.3%
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open · $143.5k
15.5%
Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open · $67.3k
0.5%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open · $82.1k
0.4%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open · $57.9k
0.3%
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $104.2k
0.1%
Will Pablo Marçal finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $69.4k
0.1%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $46.2k
0.1%
Will Fernando Haddad finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $23.2k
0.1%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $20.8k
0.1%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $16.8k
0.1%
Will Jair Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $15.8k
0.1%
Will Camilo Santana finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $13.1k
0.1%
Will Geraldo Alckmin finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $11.8k
0.1%
Will Aldo Rebelo finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $9.9k
0.1%
Will Eduardo Leite finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $9.4k
0.1%
Will Tereza Cristina finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $4.1k
0.1%
Will Helder Barbalho finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $3.5k
0.1%
| 0x5c8e…8d30 | $5.7k | $4.9k | $748 | $-4.2k |
| 0x0380…073d | $5.0k | $3.6k | $1.4k | $-2.2k |
| 0x837f…86b7 | $4.7k | $2.5k | $2.2k | $-361 |
| 0x39a5…87f2 | $4.3k | $1.7k | $2.6k | $888 |
| 0xb1ca…1705 | $4.0k | $1.7k | $2.2k | $497 |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | $4.0k | $3.0k | $918 | $-2.1k |
| 0x23d8…0288 | $3.7k | $491 | $3.2k | $2.7k |
| 0x9648…6825 | $3.5k | $3.5k | $0 | $-3.5k |
| $-14.5k |
| 6 |
| 0x23d8…0288 | 161 | $38.3k | $-3.7k | 3 |
| 0x9648…6825 | 104 | $33.5k | $-32.7k | 3 |
| 0x511f…cbe1 | 157 | $32.7k | $-25.0k | 15 |
| 0xf1bc…f674 | 149 | $32.0k | $11.1k | 4 |
| 0xb010…efbd | 262 | $31.6k | $544 | 4 |
| 0x837f…86b7 | 174 | $29.9k | $-1.6k | 3 |
