GHO depeg by December 31?

0x47c7a3fea3e1a787a43767257f8dce05eb2d476bf92afdc213666b90a397fac1

Bearish lean

Implied Yes 4.5% · CLOB volume $1.5k · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $0 · 9/10 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

4.5%

Yes

Implied No

95.5%

Volume

$1.5k

CLOB

Traders

120 trades

Yes 4.5%No 95.5%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Bull case

•Market still active / open
•Watch for whale buy acceleration vs mid

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 4.5% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($1.5k) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

57 shown

NOBUY2026-07-12 12:33:32

1666.7¢$5

YESBUY2026-07-12 12:33:32

6.0¢$0

NOBUY2026-07-12 12:32:31

1666.7¢$6

YESBUY2026-07-12 12:32:31

6.0¢$0

NOBUY2026-07-09 21:35:10

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0xce60…d504	$640	$333	$307	$-27
0x9474…5091	$101	$101	$0	$-101
0xad53…ef24	$56	$56	$0	$-56
0x2afd…deb4	$49	$48	$1	$-47

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x8931…a90c	26	$1.3k	$-275	6
0xce60…d504	90	$1.3k	$-33	2
0x1e0f…9556	19	$1.3k	$206	1
0xeed4…7363	13	$561

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