USDE depeg by December 31?

0xf81d31cfc93941e171b905424c37fb83fcfeb3b39661063536ab14d0b356d45a

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 5.5% · CLOB volume $8.6k · whales 24h net $5 (2 wallets) · 7d net $36 · 9/10 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

5.5%

Yes

Implied No

94.5%

Volume

$8.6k

CLOB

Traders

186 trades

Yes 5.5%No 94.5%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$36

Buy

$50

Sell

$14

Whales

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($5)
•7d whale net still positive ($36)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 5.5% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($8.6k) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

23 shown

NOBUY2026-08-03 21:58:30

95.0¢$5

YESBUY2026-08-03 21:58:30

5.0¢$0

NOBUY2026-08-02 22:24:14

95.0¢$6

YESBUY2026-08-02 22:24:14

5.0¢$0

NOBUY2026-08-01 13:02:02

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0xf6f5…512f	$162	$83	$79	$-5
0x25dc…e33b	$55	$55	$0	$-55
0x9474…5091	$38	$38	$0	$-38
0x9070…e32c	$38	$37	$1	$-36

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x8931…a90c	26	$1.3k	$-275	6
0xce60…d504	90	$1.3k	$-33	2
0x1e0f…9556	19	$1.3k	$206	1
0xeed4…7363	13	$561

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